[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Feb 15 07:11:23 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 150709
SWODY1
SPC AC 150708

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 AM CST WED FEB 15 2006

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED LAST SENTENCE AND HEADLINE ABOVE

A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC COASTAL
STATES WILL ROTATE AND SLIDE EWD INTO THE ROCKIES TODAY AND TONIGHT.
IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH...A STRONG 70 KT LOW-LEVEL JET
WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND INCREASE MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE MS
VALLEY. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE REGION...SFC
DEWPOINTS MAY REACH THE LOWER TO MID 50S F IN THE OH VALLEY BY LATE
TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A CAPPED WARM
SECTOR...FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SFC TROUGH CONVERGENCE MAY BE
ENOUGH TO INITIATE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY
LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE AS THE STRONGER
WESTERLIES SHIFT SWD ACROSS THE REGION...INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE
TOO WEAK FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION. 

ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

..BROYLES.. 02/15/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM







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