[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Feb 15 05:53:49 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 150551
SWODY1
SPC AC 150550

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CST TUE FEB 14 2006

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC COASTAL
STATES WILL ROTATE AND SLIDE EWD INTO THE ROCKIES TODAY AND TONIGHT.
IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH...A STRONG 70 KT LOW-LEVEL JET
WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND INCREASE MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE MS
VALLEY. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE REGION...SFC
DEWPOINTS MAY REACH THE LOWER TO MID 50S F IN THE OH VALLEY BY LATE
TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A CAPPED WARM
SECTOR...FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SFC TROUGH CONVERGENCE MAY BE
ENOUGH TO INITIATE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY
LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE AS THE STRONGER
WESTERLIES SHIFT SWD ACROSS THE REGION...INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE
TOO WEAK FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION. 

ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

..BROYLES.. 02/15/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM







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