[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Feb 10 00:55:27 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 100052
SWODY1
SPC AC 100051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CST THU FEB 09 2006

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW TUS 45 SW SVC
45 NNE HOB 40 WSW GYI 40 S PRX 20 ESE LFK 20 E HOU 20 SW LBX 35 NE
CRP 15 WNW LRD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...TX/SRN NM/SRN AZ...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW ENTERING NRN MEXICO
ATTM. A DRY SLOT ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL JET MAX IS EVIDENT ON
THE SRN SIDE OF THE LOW WHICH WILL PUNCH EWD INTO WRN AND CNTRL TX
TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE STATE GRADUALLY ERODING A CAPPING INVERSION IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF TX. AS A RESULT...THE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BECOME
FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF TX
TONIGHT. IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING LOW...WARM AIR ADVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET WILL AID THE DEVELOPING
STORMS AND AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION SHOW STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IN PLACE BUT
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD KEEP ANY STORM ACTIVITY
RELATIVELY WEAK THROUGH DAYBREAK.

..BROYLES.. 02/10/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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