[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Feb 9 19:48:47 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 091946
SWODY1
SPC AC 091944

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CST THU FEB 09 2006

VALID 092000Z - 101200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW TUS 55 NE DUG
55 ENE HOB 70 S CDS 30 SE DAL 45 SE CRS 40 SSW UTS 20 NNE VCT 20 NNW
NIR 65 NW LRD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN ROCKIES TO SWRN/CNTRL TX...
CLOSED LOW OVER NWRN SONORA IS EXPECTED TO OPEN INTO A TROUGH...
PHASE WITH THE NRN STREAM...AND THEN TRANSLATE EWD TOWARD THE TX
HIGH PLAINS LATER TONIGHT.  THOUGH MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN IS LIMITED
OVER THE SRN ROCKIES/DESERT SW...ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS
CONTRIBUTING TO MOISTENING/DESTABILIZING OF THE MID- TROPOSPHERE...
SUPPORTING A CONTINUED THREAT FOR SCATTERED TSTMS.  

THE SAME PLUME OF MOISTURE ALOFT AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT WILL ADVECT DOWNSTREAM INTO SWRN/CNTRL TX LATER TONIGHT.
CONCURRENTLY...THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE INCREASING IN RESPONSE TO
GRADUAL LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS...ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURN OF A MODIFIED CP AIR MASS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.  SET-UP
APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ACROSS
SWRN/CNTRL TX AFTER 06Z WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY
OVER CNTRL TX.

..RACY.. 02/09/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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