[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 091621
SWODY1
SPC AC 091619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST THU FEB 09 2006

VALID 091630Z - 101200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW TUS 55 NE DUG
20 NE INK 50 WSW MWL 30 SE DAL 45 SE CRS 40 SSW UTS 20 NNE VCT 20
NNW NIR 65 NW LRD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SERN STATES WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY
WHILE AN UPSTREAM WAVE OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AMPLIFIES SSEWD OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND A RIDGE IS MAINTAINED ALONG THE PAC COAST. 
IN THE SRN STREAM...THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE NRN GULF OF CA WILL MOVE
SLIGHTLY N OF E TODAY TOWARD SE AZ/SW NM...AND THEN MORE EWD TOWARD
SW TX TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING CENTRAL PLAINS TROUGH.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS QUITE LIMITED INVOF THE US/MEXICO BORDER THIS
MORNING.  HOWEVER...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A PLUME OF MID
LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASCENT E/NE OF THE MID LEVEL LOW COULD ALLOW MID
LEVEL CONVECTION IN NW MEXICO TO SPREAD INTO EXTREME SE AZ/SW NM
THIS AFTERNOON.  OVERNIGHT...A WAA REGIME WILL STRENGTHEN OVER TX AS
THE NW MEXICO TROUGH EJECTS EWD...WHILE A MODIFYING CP AIR MASS
RETURNS NWD FROM THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO.  THE NET RESULT SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT LOW-MID LEVEL DESTABILIZATION FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
BY 10/06-12Z ACROSS CENTRAL TX.

..THOMPSON.. 02/09/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM