[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Feb 7 05:30:09 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 070528
SWODY1
SPC AC 070526

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 PM CST MON FEB 06 2006

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN GA THROUGH FL...

COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH SRN GA AND INTO NRN FL ALONG
COLD FRONT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AND WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE FL
PENINSULA DURING THE DAY. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW LOW LEVEL
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50 FROM FL INTO SRN GA. WSWLY
LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE ADVECTION OF SLIGHTLY RICHER
MOISTURE RESIDING OVER THE NERN GULF INTO THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR TONIGHT INTO VERY EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...OWING TO WEAK
LAPSE RATES AND INSUFFICIENT MOISTURE RETURN...INSTABILITY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY MARGINAL AND CONFINED TO THE LAYERS
UNFAVORABLE FOR ICE PRODUCTION. A BAND OF SHALLOW CONVECTION MAY
STILL BE IN PROGRESS WITHIN ZONE OF FRONTAL CONVERGENCE FROM SERN GA
INTO NRN FL EARLY TUESDAY...BUT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES APPEAR
UNFAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. CONVECTION OVER FL SHOULD
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS THE STRONGER FORCING FOR DEEP LAYER ASCENT
GRADUALLY LIFTS NEWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD AND AS ACTIVITY
ENCOUNTERS AN INCREASINGLY STABLE ATMOSPHERE.

..DIAL.. 02/07/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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