[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 050532
SWODY1
SPC AC 050530

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST SAT FEB 04 2006

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LFT 15 S POE 35 SSW
SHV 20 S TXK 10 SE HOT 60 E LIT 10 ENE UOX 35 S CBM 40 SSE MEI 25
WNW GPT 20 NNW MSY LFT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
THE LARGE ERN US TROUGH WILL SWING QUICKLY EWD INTO THE ATLANTIC AS
A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIVES SEWD INTO THE PLAINS STATES
TODAY. AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
FORM IN THE PLAINS AND SHIFT EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TONIGHT
INCREASING MOISTURE ADVECTION. THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT DUE TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH SHOULD ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP IN SRN AR AND NRN LA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA AT 06Z
SHOW A STRONG INVERSION IN PLACE SUGGESTING THE CONVECTION WILL BE
ELEVATED. HOWEVER...STEEP LAPSE RATES ABOVE THE INVERSION MAY BE
CONDUCIVE FOR HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. NAM AND GFS FORECASTS
AGREE WITH DEVELOPING A CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING SEWD INTO MS LATE
IN THE PERIOD. ANY SEVERE THREAT WOULD LIKELY BE MARGINAL.

..BROYLES.. 02/05/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM