[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Feb 5 12:28:23 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 051226
SWODY1
SPC AC 051225

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0625 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2006

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GGG 10 NNE DEQ
20 SW RUE 50 ENE LIT TUP 20 NW TCL 40 ESE MEI 30 NE MCB 15 NNW IER
40 NNE GGG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN AR/NRN LA INTO NRN MS...
DEEP UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS ONTARIO TODAY...WHILE ANOTHER
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  AS
THIS OCCURS...120+ KT H25 JET WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID
SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.  ASCENT WITHIN RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF THIS UPPER JET WILL BE GREATLY AUGMENTED BY WAA ALONG NOSE
OF 50+ KT SSWLY H85 JET DEVELOPING ACROSS LA/MS OVERNIGHT. NAM
DEVELOPS SIGNIFICANT H85-H7 VERTICAL MOTION OVER THIS REGION BETWEEN
06Z-12Z WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD ELEVATED MOIST
CONVECTION.  LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM NAM/NAMKF/WRF-NMM4
INDICATE MUCAPE WILL REMAIN AOB 500 J/KG RESULTING IN
SHALLOW...ELEVATED STORMS WITH MINIMAL SEVERE RISK AS ACTIVITY
DEVELOPS/MOVES QUICKLY EWD LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

..EVANS.. 02/05/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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