[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Sep 28 00:51:53 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 280049
SWODY1
SPC AC 280047

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2005

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE SOW 65 NE PHX
50 E IGM 60 E LAS 10 N TPH 35 NW U31 35 NW EKO 45 S TWF 30 NW MLD 15
W WEY 30 NNW LVM 40 NW 3HT 10 WSW LWT 60 WSW MLS 40 SW 4BQ 45 WNW
CDR 25 E AIA 30 E MHN 15 WSW OFK 40 WNW OMA 20 SSW FNB 30 E EMP 30 N
END 50 W GAG 30 NW TCC 10 NNE 4CR 40 NW TCS 55 SE SOW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NE MQT 40 W MQT 55
W RHI 65 NNE MSP 35 NNE BRD 35 NW ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW GLS 40 WNW BPT
LFK 35 SSE GGG 35 SE SHV 15 WNW ESF 15 E LFT 45 WSW HUM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PNS 25 NW DHN 20 NNE
ABY 10 S SSI 30 SE SSI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN GRT BASIN TO THE CNTRL PLAINS...
SRN STREAM UPPER IMPULSE WAS TRANSLATING ACROSS NV THIS EVENING WITH
WEAK PHASING INTO THE PRIMARY BELT OF WLYS SINKING SWD INTO THE NRN
TIER OF THE COUNTRY.  SEVERAL WARM CONVEYER BELTS HAVE EVOLVED
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE NV SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH NUMEROUS TSTMS
CONTINUING AS UPPER FORCING SPREADS EWD INTO THE PLUME OF
MID/HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE.  PRESENCE OF 50-60 KTS OF SWLY H5 FLOW HAS
AIDED IN SOME STORM ORGANIZATION DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY.  ISOLD
SEVERE TSTMS HAVE FAVORED WCNTRL-CNTRL CO WHERE STRONGEST BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING OCCURRED TODAY.  A FEW STRONG TO ISOLD SEVERE STORMS
MAY CONTINUE INTO THE LATE EVENING WITH STRONG WINDS AND PERHAPS
HAIL.  

DOWNSTREAM...LARGE SCALE HEIGHTS WILL BEGIN TO FALL ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLAINS AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE PRIMARY WLYS
DIGS SEWD TOWARD THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.  THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO SURGE SEWD FROM THE NRN PLAINS THIS EVENING...REACHING
 A WI...IA...NRN KS LINE BY 12Z.  PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS WAS CAPPED
PER THE 00Z SOUNDINGS...BUT CONTINUED MOISTENING...VIA ASCENT AND
ADVECTION OF MID/HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
DESTABILIZATION ALOFT OVERNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF KS AND NEB.
SUFFICIENT MUCAPE WILL EXIST FOR A FEW ELEVATED TSTMS. EFFECTIVE
SHEAR WILL BE LIMITED AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUB-SEVERE...BUT
MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.

..RACY.. 09/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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