[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 090102
SWODY1
SPC AC 090101

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2005

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE SAC 30 NW RBL
30 S MFR 70 NNW 4LW 50 SSW BNO 65 NW WMC 20 SSE RNO 55 NNE SAC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE RRT 40 NNW BRD
30 SSE RWF 20 WNW SUX 15 ENE MCK 25 NNW LAA 20 NE CAO 55 SW TCC 35
ESE TCS 40 S DMN ...CONT... 60 SW GBN 10 WSW IGM 35 ENE P38 25 NE
DPG 40 SE MLD 45 N BPI 15 NNE WRL 35 N 81V 40 SSW DIK 20 SSE P24 40
NNE MOT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W EYW 65 WSW MIA
35 S AGR 25 NE GNV 35 NW SSI 35 E SAV ...CONT... 15 E BOS 20 SW POU
15 NNW HTS 25 N HOP 45 NW POF 45 N SZL 25 N LWD 50 NE DSM 30 NE CID
10 NE MMO 10 SW AZO 15 SSW MTC ...CONT... 65 W COT GLS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NEB/SD...

00Z SOUNDINGS FROM THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS REGION DEPICT A VERY STEEP
LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...NEAR DRY ADIABATIC THROUGH 550MB.  THIS
PROVED FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NWRN NEB INTO EXTREME SCNTRL SD.  HOWEVER...LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING APPEARS TO HAVE ADVERSELY AFFECTED THESE UPDRAFTS
AND ONLY WEAK REMNANTS REMAIN...DRIFTING NEWD WITH LITTLE MORE THAN
TSTM CARCASSES.  OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...LLJ WILL INCREASE AIDING
THE POSSIBILITY FOR UPDRAFT RECOVERY AND SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION AS
PARCELS BECOME ROOTED ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER.  IF THIS
OCCURS...WARM ADVECTION COULD AID A FEW STRONG STORMS AS THEY
SPREAD/DEVELOP NEWD AFTER DARK.  HAIL IS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT
WITH THIS LATER DEVELOPMENT.

...IL/OH VALLEY...

IA/IL MCS HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED AS IT MOVES INTO INCREASINGLY
STABLE ENVIRONMENT.  OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG WEAK CONFLUENT ZONE FROM CNTRL IND INTO NERN OH. 
ILN/PIT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MARGINAL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...HARDLY
SUPPORTIVE OF ANY MEANINGFUL SEVERE THREAT.  OVERALL CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL PROVE TOO MEAGER TO WARRANT ANY PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE
ACROSS THIS REGION.

..DARROW.. 09/09/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.