[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 070052
SWODY1
SPC AC 070050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT TUE SEP 06 2005

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WSW TUS 20 ESE PHX
40 S INW 65 SSE PGA 30 NW PGA 35 SSE U24 15 WNW SLC 35 WNW RKS 35
NNW LND 50 ESE WEY 40 W MQM 50 NNW 27U 15 SSE MSO 45 ENE GTF 75 WSW
GGW 45 NNE RAP 20 SW PIR 40 NW RWF 15 ENE MSP 20 WSW RHI 50 E MQT
...CONT... 70 NNE MTC 20 NE MKG 15 WSW MLI 20 S P35 15 SSE MHK 30
WSW END 25 SSW CDS 20 ENE INK 85 SSE MRF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE TLH 30 NW SAV
20 N CRE 10 SE ILM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW LRD 10 NNE COT
20 SE SAT 60 ESE AUS 25 SSW BPT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS SWWD TO NERN NM/NRN TX PANHANDLE...
EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDED
FROM THE U.P. OF MI SWWD ACROSS SERN MN/NRN IA TO NRN NEB...WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SWWD FROM SWRN NEB TO FAR WRN KS AND ERN NM.  MID
LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRACKING ENEWD ACROSS NEB OVERNIGHT WILL
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE LIFT FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THIS
EVENING ALONG THE COLD FRONT.  EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR ACROSS WRN AND
NRN NEB WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR SOME STORM ORGANIZATION...BUT THE
ONSET OF BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING WILL FURTHER LIMIT THE COVERAGE OF STRONGER/SEVERE ACTIVITY.
HOWEVER...UNTIL AROUND 03Z...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL NEB...GIVEN MARGINAL INSTABILITY
AND ENHANCED DEEP SHEAR WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH.

FURTHER S...A STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM NERN NM INTO SWRN KS. 
ALTHOUGH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
STORMS...SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN MINIMAL AS CURRENT ACTIVITY MOVES
ESEWD AWAY FROM THE INSTABILITY AXIS.

..PETERS.. 09/07/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.