[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 040106
SWODY1
SPC AC 040105

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2005

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW
ALO 15 NNW SPW 25 SW BKX 40 SE MBG 35 NE MBG 15 SSW JMS 15 ENE BRD
15 NW EAU 15 NNW VOK 10 ESE DBQ 10 NNE CID 40 SW ALO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E CZZ 50 WNW EED
60 E LAS 35 WNW CDC 20 E ENV 45 NNW SUN 40 WSW S80 10 NNW PUW 45 NW
S06 85 NE 3TH 40 SSW HVR 75 SSW GGW 50 N DGW 35 WNW BFF 30 N AKO 20
NNE IML 35 NNW GRI 50 NE BUB 25 E 9V9 25 NE PHP 60 N PHP 40 W BIS 55
NNW MOT ...CONT... 65 ENE ELO 35 NNE RHI 15 WSW OSH JVL 25 SW STL 25
WNW LIT 25 ENE SHV 40 SE CLL 15 SW GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW BML 10 NNW LEB
20 W GFL 25 SSW ART.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE RSL 25 WNW OKC
15 SE MWL 25 ESE BWD 30 S SJT 35 SSW MAF 20 SE HOB 30 ENE CVS 45 ESE
TAD 25 SSW LIC 30 NNW GCK 25 SSE RSL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PIE 20 SSE
DAB.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

...UPPER MS VALLEY...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS...1)
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ONGOING MCS OVER ERN MN/WRN WI ATTM...AND 2)
TOPPING THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS SRN MANITOBA/DAKOTAS...PROVIDING
LARGE SCALE ASCENT FOR ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT.  PRIMARY ZONE OF
THIS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ALONG/N OF A WARM
FRONT WHICH EXTENDED FROM NEAR THE SD/ND BORDER SEWD ACROSS SWRN MN
TO NRN AND ERN IA.  STRENGTHENING LLJ NOSING INTO ERN SD/WRN MN THIS
EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FAVORABLE INFLOW OF AN UNSTABLE AIR
MASS INTO SERN/CENTRAL MN AND WNWWD TO ALONG THE ND/SD BORDER WHERE
PARCELS WILL CONTINUE TO REACH THE LFC.  WAA AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT
COMBINED WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF DAKOTAS MID LEVEL TROUGH
SHOULD AID IN THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT
FROM PARTS OF SD/SRN ND INTO MN/WRN WI...AND NERN IA.  DEEP LAYER
SHEAR AND STRONG...MAINLY ELEVATED...INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT
FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS...WITH ANOTHER MCS POTENTIALLY
DEVELOPING AND TRACKING ESEWD ACROSS MN.  HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..PETERS.. 09/04/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.