[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Sep 2 23:46:28 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 030101
SWODY1
SPC AC 030100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2005

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S HUL 10 NE 3B1 70
NNW 3B1 ...CONT... 10 NW PIE 25 NNW DAB ...CONT... 10 WNW DRT 65 W
JCT 10 S SJT 35 SSW ABI 30 N BWD 30 SSE SEP 30 SE TPL 40 SSW CLL 55
NNE VCT 15 ESE PSX ...CONT... 70 SSW GBN 40 S LAS 50 S ELY 50 NE ELY
10 WSW DPG 30 NE CNY 15 W FCL 40 WNW BFF 45 WSW RAP 50 NNE 4BQ 35
ESE GDV 15 SW P24 40 W DVL 35 ESE DVL 20 ENE FAR 30 ESE STC 25 NNE
RST 45 E MCW 35 SSE SPW 35 NE OMA FLV 30 WSW SZL 25 WNW TBN 50 NE
UNO POF 35 ENE JBR 20 ESE MEM 35 NNW GLH 35 W HOT 25 ENE MLC 30 N
OKC 15 S GAG 60 NE AMA 10 S AMA 50 W LBB 25 ESE ROW 10 SSW ALM 35
SSE DMN ...CONT... 60 NNE GGW 20 WSW 3HT 10 NNW IDA 45 W SUN 80 SSE
S80 S06 100 N 3TH.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DAKOTAS TO SWRN MN...
MODEST LOW LEVEL JET OF 30-40KT WAS DIRECTED FROM THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS NWD TO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES TONIGHT BENEATH BROAD MID/UPR
LEVEL RIDGE. A WARM FRONT WAS ORIENTED NW-SE FROM THE LEE-TROUGH
OVER ERN MT...ACROSS THE WRN DAKOTAS...TO NWRN IA. WEAK MID/UPR
LEVEL IMPULSES AHEAD OF A STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRANSLATE THROUGH THE LARGER SCALE RIDGE
OVERNIGHT. WHILE OVERALL LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE PASSING DISTURBANCES IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED...
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MOISTENING WITHIN THE FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD
INCREASE AS LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS.

PATTERN APPEARS TO FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED AND PRIMARILY
ELEVATED TSTMS PERHAPS EVOLVING INTO A SMALL MCS AND SPREADING ESEWD
ACROSS ERN SD AND SWRN MN THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE WARM FRONT A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
PERHAPS A DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO.

...NEB PNHDL/NERN CO...
A COUPLE OF STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SRN NEB PNHDL AREA OVER
THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS STRONGLY INFLUENCED BY
DIURNAL HEATING AND MAY POSE A LIMITED SEVERE HAIL/WIND THREAT OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO BEFORE DIMINISHING.

..CARBIN.. 09/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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