[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 011234
SWODY1
SPC AC 011232

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT THU SEP 01 2005

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S YUM 45 WNW PHX
30 SSE FLG 15 W CEZ 30 ENE EGE 25 S CYS SNY 10 ENE IML 50 SSW EAR 25
NW FNB 15 SSW STJ 20 NE CNU 50 NW SGF 15 ENE SPI 30 NNW IND 45 ESE
BMG 25 NW HOP 55 NE PBF 45 WSW HOT DUA 75 NW ABI 20 NNW BGS 25 W FST
65 SSW MRF ...CONT... 60 SSE DRT 50 ESE JCT 20 S TPL 50 W LFK 20 WNW
ESF 45 ESE LUL 50 NNW AYS 25 SSW CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N 63S 45 NE EPH 25
S YKM 30 W DLS 30 WSW PDX 25 SSW AST.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY LARGE ANTICYCLONE OVER
THE SRN HALF OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD.  PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION... WITH
ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT ADVANCING EWD INTO THE OH RIVER VALLEY
AND STALLING OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.

...SWRN STATES INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...
WITH SURFACE FRONT STALLING OVER THE REGION...WEAK UPSLOPE ESELY
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ALONG AND EAST OF THE
ROCKIES TODAY. DEW POINTS IN THE 50S WILL LIKELY SUPPORT MODERATE
INSTABILITY OVER THIS REGION AS AFTERNOON HEATING BOOSTS
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 80S.  THIS WILL LIKELY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS...MANY OF WHICH WILL
CARRY THREATS OF MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL/WIND.  HOWEVER...LOW AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK /I.E. AOB 20 KT/ AND LIMIT
PERSISTENCE/ORGANIZATION OF THIS ACTIVITY.  LATER THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY AGAIN DEVELOP INTO
PARTS OF WRN/CENTRAL KS ALONG NOSE OF MODEST SLY LLJ.  LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN QUITE STEEP AND A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..EVANS/BANACOS.. 09/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.