[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Sep 1 04:23:40 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 010538
SWODY1
SPC AC 010537

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1237 AM CDT THU SEP 01 2005

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S YUM 45 WNW PHX
30 SSE FLG 15 W CEZ 30 ENE EGE 25 S CYS SNY 15 NNE IML 35 E HLC 15
ENE HUT 25 WSW CNU 50 NW SGF 15 ENE SPI 30 NNW IND 45 ESE BMG 25 NW
HOP 55 NE PBF 45 WSW HOT DUA 75 NW ABI 20 NNW BGS 25 W FST 65 SSW
MRF ...CONT... 60 SSE DRT 50 ESE JCT 20 S TPL 50 W LFK 20 WNW ESF 45
ESE LUL 50 NNW AYS 25 SSW CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N 63S 45 NE EPH 25
S YKM 30 W DLS 30 WSW PDX 25 SSW AST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW BHB 30 NE BGR
HUL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE WLY FLOW OF MODEST AMPLITUDE WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF
ABOUT 40N WHILE A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REAPPEARS ACROSS THE SRN CONUS
ON THURSDAY. IN THE MAIN BELT OF WLYS...ONE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL
TRACK FROM THE UPR MS VLY AREA EWD TO THE ERN GREAT LAKES/ST.
LAWRENCE VLY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING FROM WI TO WRN NY
DURING THE PERIOD. FARTHER WEST...A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM
THE PACIFIC INTO BC CANADA WILL CAUSE WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST BENEATH THE RIDGE AXIS ACROSS
THE SOUTH AND GULF COAST. A WEAK DISTURBANCE TRANSLATING THROUGH THE
UPR RIDGE WILL MOVE WITHIN A PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
LWR CO RIVER VLY TO THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN ROCKIES AREA DURING THE
DAY.

...UPR RIO GRANDE VLY/NM...W TX AREAS...
MOIST LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW COUPLED WITH WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS
AND MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
AFTERNOON TSTMS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. MODEST SPEED AND
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL AND NRN NM MAY 
SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER/PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS WITH HAIL/WIND. ACTIVITY
MAY SPREAD EAST INTO LWR TERRAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
WITH SOME CHANCE FOR GUSTY OUTFLOW DOMINANT STORMS CONTINUING FOR A
FEW HOURS FROM ERN NM ACROSS PARTS OF W TX.

..CARBIN/BANACOS.. 09/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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