[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 300058
SWODY1
SPC AC 300057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT SAT OCT 29 2005

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 S MRF 30 S ROW 50
S LVS 60 NNE SAF 40 SSE GUC 25 ESE GJT 10 SSE U28 25 NE MLF 60 E ELY
15 SSW ENV 60 NE ENV 45 ESE MLD 40 WSW BPI 30 S JAC 20 WSW JAC 15 W
IDA 55 WNW IDA 20 W MQM 35 SSW BZN 40 SE 3HT 20 WSW MLS 30 N 4BQ 30
NNE GCC 10 NE DGW 30 SSE DGW 15 S CYS 30 SE CYS 30 WSW SNY 30 E SNY
30 NE MHN 40 SSW 9V9 20 NE HON 40 N RWF 10 NE MSP 45 E MCW 35 WSW
LWD 15 SW JLN 15 ENE TUL 10 SE CHK 15 WSW ABI 25 WNW DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...
A PAIR OF MID-LEVEL IMPULSES CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE QUICKLY EWD INTO
THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS THIS EVENING...ON THE NOSE OF INCREASING ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THESE WAVES WAS
SUPPORTING TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...PRIMARILY
ACROSS WRN KS .  THOUGH SLY FLOW HAS BEEN STRONG AHEAD OF THESE
FEATURES...MOISTURE RETURN HAS BEEN MEAGER AND IS RESULTING IN
MUCAPES AOB 600 J/KG PER 00Z DDC/AMA RAOBS.  STEEPER MID-
TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES SPREADING EWD INTO KS HAVE BEEN FAVORABLE
FOR ISOLD STRONGER UPDRAFTS IN AN OTHERWISE MEAGER BUOYANCY
ENVIRONMENT.  

STRONGER UVVS/LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS OVERNIGHT AS THE SWLY FLOW
INCREASES.  CONVECTION...CONSEQUENTLY...SHOULD SPREAD/DEVELOP
ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FROM MN SWWD INTO KS AND OK.  IT
APPEARS THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE
CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA ACROSS WRN/CNTRL KS THROUGH LATE EVENING
WHERE MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE THE STEEPEST ATOP NRN EDGE OF
THE LOW-LEVEL THETA-E AXIS.

..RACY.. 10/30/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.