[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 291204
SWODY1
SPC AC 291202

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2005

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW BLI 35 NNW PDX
25 WNW ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW ELP 20 W ABQ
50 SW CEZ 15 ENE 4HV 45 E ELY 10 N ENV 30 SW MLD 45 WNW PIH 35 SW
SMN 35 N SMN 70 ESE LWT 25 NNE BHK 35 WSW Y22 50 ENE CDR 15 ESE VTN
35 NNE HON 30 SSW AXN 10 NE MSP 45 E MCW 15 S DSM 60 NW SGF 30 N MKO
30 WNW CHK 65 NW ABI 25 WNW DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW BROAD UPPER
TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES.  THIS WILL RESULT IN
GENERALLY LOWERING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS AND COOLING ALOFT ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST STATES AND HIGH PLAINS.  STRONG DAYTIME HEATING IN
PORTIONS OF THIS REGION WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EASTERN NM INTO WESTERN KS. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT SUFFICIENTLY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
CAPE /400-800 J/KG/ WILL PROVIDE A THREAT OF HAIL IN STRONGER
CELLS...FOR A FEW HOUR PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
RELATIVELY LOW BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTENT AND A SUBSTANTIAL
CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD HELP TO WEAKEN STORMS QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET
ACROSS THESE REGIONS.

ELSEWHERE...NO ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY.

..HART/GUYER.. 10/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.