[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 271600
SWODY1
SPC AC 271559

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2005

VALID 271630Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW BLI 30 SSE OLM
20 NW SLE 45 SW ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE 6R6 30 ESE FST
40 E HOB 35 WSW LBB 25 E LBB 70 NNW ABI 45 NNE ABI 30 W SEP 55 NW
AUS 40 NNW NIR 35 SE PSX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH TEXAS...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WCENTRAL TX SUPPORTS A DIMINISHING AREA OF
ELEVATED CONVECTION AS SYSTEM MOVES EWD ACROSS A PROGRESSIVELY MORE
HOSTILE/STABLE LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT.

FURTHER S STALLED E/W FRONTAL ZONE VICINITY CRP WILL PROVIDE LIFT
ALONG WITH AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE FRONT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW
STRONG...POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS.  E/SELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW S OF
FRONT RESULTING IN INCREASING MOISTURE/INSTABILITY.  CIN GENERALLY
DISSIPATES THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES S OF FRONT RISE TO MID 80S
ALONG WITH DEWPOINTS TO NEAR 70F.  MLCAPES UPWARDS TO 1500 J/KG
COUPLED WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 30-35KT SUPPORT PRIMARILY
MULTI-CELLULAR STORM MODE. WHILE WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW AND NOT
PARTICULARLY STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL PREVAIL...THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SUPERCELLS IN AREA OF STRONGEST INSTABILITY.


PRIMARY CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT
CAN DEVELOP.

..HALES/JEWELL.. 10/27/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.