[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 261624
SWODY1
SPC AC 261622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2005

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S 4FC 25 SW PUB 35
E TAD 35 SSW GUY 45 NNW CDS 70 N ABI 25 W SEP 55 W TPL 35 N SAT 30 N
HDO 50 SSW JCT 55 NNW DRT 15 NNE 6R6 40 S FST 25 WSW FST 45 WNW FST
20 S CNM 20 SW ROW 35 WNW ABQ 40 SSE FMN CEZ 50 NE 4BL 10 SW GJT 35
W EGE 20 WNW 4FC 30 S 4FC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT FLOW REGIME DOWNSTREAM FROM BROAD GULF OF AK TROUGH WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD.  DEAMPLIFYING SRN STREAM
IMPULSE NOW OVER NRN NM EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES
ESE INTO W CNTRL TX EARLY THURSDAY.  THIS FEATURE LIKELY WILL BE THE
ONLY FOCUS FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE PERIOD.

...CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES INTO WEST TX...
STEEPENING LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES VIA SURFACE HEATING AND
APPROACH OF SRN STREAM TROUGH WILL CREATE WEAK INSTABILITY /MLCAPE
AROUND 250 J PER KG/ THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SRN
CO...NM AND W TX.  BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE SCANT...BUT
SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT SCTD
DIURNAL TSTMS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NE NM.  WNW
FLOW ALOFT WILL CARRY SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY INTO THE ADJACENT NEW
MEXICAN/W TX PLNS BY EARLY EVENING...PROBABLY IN THE FORM OF A SMALL
CLUSTER OR TWO GIVEN THERMODYNAMIC SETUP FAVORABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF COLD POOLS.  SUBSEQUENT NOCTURNAL/DYNAMIC
STRENGTHENING OF SLY LLJ LATER THIS EVENING SUGGESTS THAT AN AREA OF
STORMS MAY PERSIST INTO THE NIGHT OVER W TX.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
SPREAD SE WITH TIME...REACHING THE SOUTH PLAINS AND PERHAPS WRN
PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY BY EARLY THURSDAY.

..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 10/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.