[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Oct 26 12:23:30 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 261220
SWODY1
SPC AC 261219

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0719 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2005

VALID 261300Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW 6R6 35 WSW INK
25 SE 4CR 20 WSW ABQ 45 NNE GUP 45 NNE 4BL 50 N GJT 10 N CAG 45 NW
4FC 35 WSW DEN 25 SSE PUB 30 NNW BGD 25 NW CDS 10 E ABI 30 ESE JCT
55 SE DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES INTO WEST TX...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING -16C MID LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH NOW
MOVING ACROSS THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION WILL BE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR DEEP
MOIST CONVECTION TODAY IN THE CONUS.  LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN
SUFFICIENTLY WITHIN THIS MID LEVEL COLD TROUGH FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
WEAK INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING.  IN
ADDITION...ASCENT/OROGRAPHY AND RESIDUAL MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
LIKELY SUPPORT WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS NEAR HIGHER
TERRAIN OF WRN/CENTRAL CO AND NRN/CENTRAL NM.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL
DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING DUE TO LOSS OF AFTERNOON HEATING.

LATER THIS EVENING...SLY LLJ WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WEST TX/ERN NM
PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES.  FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE AIR MASS WILL BECOME WEAKLY UNSTABLE LIFTING
PARCELS NEAR H85.  RESULTANT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL WAA WILL LIKELY
SUPPORT ELEVATED MOIST CONVECTION ALONG WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 03Z SPREADING ESEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TX.

..EVANS/CROSBIE.. 10/26/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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