[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Oct 24 19:41:08 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 241939
SWODY1
SPC AC 241938

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 PM CDT MON OCT 24 2005

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E ILM 30 NE EWN 45
E ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW U31 25 N DRA 30
NNE LAS 25 ESE LAS 35 N EED 45 W EED 30 ESE BFL 25 WNW FAT 30 ESE
SAC 65 W RNO 20 N RNO 10 NNE NFL 50 SW U31.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CA/WRN NV...
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL INCREASE OVER CNTRL/SRN SIERRA THROUGH
TONIGHT AS SHORT WAVE IMPULSE MOVES EAST FROM CNTRL CA COAST.
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
IMPULSE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK DESTABILIZATION. A COUPLE OF
ISOLATED TSTMS COULD FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. INSTABILITY SHOULD BE TOO LIMITED TO
POSE A THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL.

...OUTER BANKS...
THREAT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS HAS ENDED OVER FL AND MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST AS WILMA MOVES RAPIDLY NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.
HOWEVER...ISOLATED CG STRIKES WERE NOTED WITHIN LEWP DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF HSE WHERE STRONG INFLUX OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS IMPINGING
UPON DEEP LAYER BAROCLINIC ZONE DEVELOPING OFFSHORE. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS COULD CLIP CAPE HATTERAS AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...EXPECT TSTM ACTIVITY TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE.

..CARBIN.. 10/24/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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