[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 231959
SWODY1
SPC AC 231957

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2005

VALID 232000Z - 241200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
PIE 55 ESE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW CTY 40 SE SSI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S DMN 45 N SAD 40
SW PRC 15 SSE IGM 65 S SGU 55 ESE SGU 20 SSE PGA 20 WSW ABQ 40 ESE
CVS 35 ESE LBB 30 SSE ABI 35 SSW BWD 20 NW HDO 50 NW LRD.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL AND SRN FL...

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
HODOGRAPH TIME-SERIES FROM KEY WEST HAS SHOWN A MARKED INCREASE IN
BOTH LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SINCE THIS MORNING WITH 0-1KM SHEAR IN
EXCESS OF 350 M2/S2 FOR A N-BOUND STORM.  LOW-LEVEL WINDS WERE ALSO
BEGINNING TO BACK TO ESELY TO THE S OF A SYNOPTIC FRONT SITUATED
FROM KMLB-KTPA AS PRESSURE FALLS INCREASE AHEAD OF HURCN WILMA.  AS
THE FLOW BEGINS TO RESPOND/ACCELERATE...THE SHEAR PROFILES WILL
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS ALL OF CNTRL/SRN FL.

THE TORNADO RISK WILL BE FAIRLY UNIFORM ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
12Z.  THERE COULD BE AN ENHANCED RISK LATER TONIGHT...
HOWEVER...VCNTY THE SYNOPTIC FRONT AS N-S ORIENTED RAINBANDS/
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS MOVE INTO THE STRONGEST ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL
HELICITY. 

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON HURCN WILMA...REFER TO NHC/TPC.

..RACY.. 10/23/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.