[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 081238
SWODY1
SPC AC 081237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT SAT OCT 08 2005

VALID 081300Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW GBN 45 NNW GBN
30 SE LAS 60 NNW DRA 45 S U31 20 S NFL 30 ESE SVE 60 NE SVE 75 SSE
BNO 40 ESE BKE 40 SE S80 10 ESE BTM 15 SE WEY 30 S JAC 40 SW BPI 45
WNW RKS 50 NNW RWL 45 SW DGW 20 ESE 4FC 30 NNE ALS 45 SE LVS 30 N
CNM 30 S ELP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW CTY 30 SW AYS
60 N AYS 30 SW AGS 25 S AHN 50 NW AND 30 NW HKY 15 NNE PSK 25 SSE
EKN 25 NW CXY 50 SSE UCA 10 NW LCI 45 S EPM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT BASIN...
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER TROUGH ROTATING INTO
THE GREAT BASIN...WITH BAND OF MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN CA INTO NV/UT. THIS AXIS OF STRONG WINDS
ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THIS
AFTERNOON.  MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER...AND SUFFICIENT MLCAPE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT ISOLATED STORMS COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THIS AFTERNOON FROM CENTRAL
UT/WESTERN CO INTO PARTS OF AZ/NM.  DESPITE STRONG FORCING...LIMITED
INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT.  SEVERE
THREAT WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSE