[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Oct 7 12:49:43 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 071247
SWODY1
SPC AC 071245

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT FRI OCT 07 2005

VALID 071300Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S BVE 20 N 0A8 20
E HTS 10 E BFD 30 NW PBG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW GBN 30 NW GBN
20 W FLG 40 NNW INW 55 WNW GUP 55 SSW GUP 15 E SAD 15 S FHU.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS REMNANT UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO...STREAMING ABUNDANT LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES.  WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TODAY FROM FL/GA INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  BAND OF MODERATELY STRONG LOW/MID
LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CAROLINAS...WITH MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING EFFECTIVE HELICITY
VALUES OVER 200 M2/S2 AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SOME
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.  PRIMARY MITIGATING FACTOR FOR SEVERE
THREAT INVOLVES THE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION AND LIMITED
POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION.  IF SUBSTANTIAL HEATING CAN
DEVELOP...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF A
TORNADO OR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

..HART.. 10/07/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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