[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 291946
SWODY1
SPC AC 291944

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2005

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
CRE 15 NE FLO 35 SE CLT 40 WSW GSO 30 E SSU 35 SSW AOO 35 SSW CXY 25
E RIC 10 NW ECG 35 S HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW ART 35 SW SLK
15 SSE ALB 30 NE BDR 40 SSW BID ...CONT... 55 ESE CHS 25 SSW FLO 45
SSW CLT 15 WSW BLF 20 W MGW 25 W BUF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW APF 40 ENE
VRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE BLI 35 SSE SEA
10 ENE SLE 25 NNE OTH 45 WSW OTH.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

...MID ATLANTIC...

LATEST WV IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS BACK EDGE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT
ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER.  RADAR IMAGERY AND VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS
SUPPORT BROAD SUBSIDENCE LIFTING NWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. 
DOWNSTREAM...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC WHERE SHEAR PROFILES ARE MORE THAN
SUPPORTIVE OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS.  IT APPEARS THE GREATEST IMPEDIMENT
TO ROBUST ACTIVITY IS THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY AND POOR
LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT.  EVEN SO...EMBEDDED STRONGER UPDRAFTS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS NC INTO INTERIOR VA THIS AFTERNOON WHERE A FEW
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE...OR PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
TORNADO.  COLD FRONT/PRE-FRONTAL WIND SHIFT WILL RESULT IN AN END TO
ANY SEVERE THREAT.

..DARROW.. 11/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM