[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Nov 30 00:40:46 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 300036
SWODY1
SPC AC 300035

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2005

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
ILM 30 SE FAY 25 WNW GSB 30 SSW AVC 30 N AVC 35 E CHO 15 NE HGR 25
NNW CXY 15 W ABE 15 WSW TTN 25 NNE SBY 35 ENE ORF 30 SSW HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S CRE 15 W CRE 25
NNE FAY 40 SSE CHO 15 N HGR 25 ESE ELM 35 NE BGM 40 WSW ALB 25 SSE
ISP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N BLI 20 SSW SEA
10 SW SLE 35 NE OTH 45 WSW OTH.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN NC THROUGH THE MID
ATLANTIC AREA...

...NERN NC THROUGH MID ATLANTIC...

SQUALL LINE FROM SERN PA THROUGH CNTRL VA AND E CNTRL NC CONTINUES
EWD AT 25 TO 30 KT. PRE-CONVECTIVE WARM SECTOR IS ONLY MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE AROUND 500 J/KG...AND THIS REMAINS THE PRIMARY
LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE EVENT. NEVERTHELESS...
STRONG DEEP LAYER FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR ACCOMPANYING A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH LIFTING NEWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES WITHIN THE LINE. DAMAGING
WIND APPEARS TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...BUT ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

..DIAL.. 11/30/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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