[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 291631
SWODY1
SPC AC 291629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST TUE NOV 29 2005

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE
SAV 45 SE AGS 35 WSW CAE 20 NE HKY 15 ENE SSU 35 SSW AOO 35 SSW CXY
25 E RIC 10 NW ECG 35 S HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE AAF 20 SW ABY
25 WSW AND 50 W BKW 35 SSE CAK 55 NNW ERI ...CONT... 25 WNW ART 35
SW SLK 15 SSE ALB 30 NE BDR 40 SSW BID.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW CLM 10 SSE OLM
20 NNW PDX EUG 25 NNE OTH 45 WSW OTH.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE
CAROLINAS NWD INTO CENTRAL VA....

...SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE MS/OH VALLEYS WILL GRADUALLY FILL
THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW AS THE DEEP OCCLUDED CYCLONE OVER WI MOVES
NEWD ACROSS ONTARIO AND WEAKENS...AND A SEPARATE SPEED MAX OVER
MS/AL LIFTS NEWD TO THE SRN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY EARLY TONIGHT. 
AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD FROM
THE APPALACHIANS TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT.  A SEPARATE AREA OF
PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL DRIFT SEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/S FL TODAY. 
ELSEWHERE...ANOTHER STRONG MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG ESEWD FROM THE
PAC NW TOWARD THE NRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

...CAROLINAS TO INTERIOR MID ATLANTIC STATES TODAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING IN TWO BANDS THIS MORNING -
ONE ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM UPSTATE SC TO WRN VA...AND ANOTHER
ALONG THE MOISTURE/LLJ AXIS FROM THE GRAND STRAND NWD INTO ERN NC. 
BETWEEN THESE CONVECTIVE BANDS...A NARROW WARM SECTOR EXTENDS INLAND
ACROSS SC TO SW VA.  WIDESPREAD CLOUDS...MOIST PROFILES...AND RATHER
POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALL TEND TO LIMIT INSTABILITY IN THE
WARM SECTOR AS IT SPREADS NWD ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL VA TODAY. 
HOWEVER...40-50 KT SLY FLOW IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AGL...ALONG WITH
STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR...MAY SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH
STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.  ASSUMING SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY
DEVELOPS IN AREAS WITH CLOUD BREAKS...SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.

..THOMPSON/BOTHWELL.. 11/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM