[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 220029
SWODY1
SPC AC 220027

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0627 PM CST MON NOV 21 2005

VALID 220100Z - 221200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E SSI 25 ESE AHN
10 SW AND 30 W CLT 25 S DAN 10 NE DOV 45 E ACY ...CONT... 40 SE ISP
55 ESE PSM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...COASTAL NC...
STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW MOVING ACROSS THE SERN STATES...WILL
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY/STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS NEGATIVELY TILTED NEWD
TOWARD NC/VA TONIGHT.  PRIMARY SURFACE LOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER
SERN NC...WILL DEEPEN DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS TO A 980-985 MB LOW
OFF THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST. A SMALL WARM SECTOR IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OVER THE NC OUTER BANKS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...RESULTING IN
A LOW TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND THREAT UNTIL THE SERN NC SURFACE LOW
MOVES NE OF THIS REGION LATER THIS EVENING.

ELSEWHERE...STRONG FORCING AND MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION ALONG THE
TRACK OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THE AIR
MASS ABOVE 700 MB FOR A THREAT OF ELEVATED NON-SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS/MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY.

...SRN FL...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE S AND OFFSHORE OF SRN FL THIS EVENING.  GIVEN
STRONGER UPPER LEVEL FORCING IS MOVING NEWD AWAY FROM FL AND
CONVERGENCE REMAINS LIMITED AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER...THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER LAND.  THUS...SEVERE
AND GENERAL THUNDERSTORM THREATS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR FL.

..PETERS.. 11/22/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.