[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 192001
SWODY1
SPC AC 191959

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 PM CST SAT NOV 19 2005

VALID 192000Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW SRQ 30 E SRQ 30
NW AGR 30 WSW DAB 25 SW SSI 20 E SAV 40 SE CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE MFE 50 S ALI 15
S NIR 10 SSW VCT 10 NNE PSX 45 SSE LBX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING
SSEWD ACROSS THE SCNTRL US. THE TROUGH WILL CLOSE OFF OVER THE CNTRL
PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING AND MOVE SWD INTO THE SRN STATES TONIGHT. IN
RESPONSE...A SUB-SYNOPTIC SFC LOW OFF THE LOWER TX COAST WILL
CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE WITH ELY WINDS REMAINING NEAR THE IMMEDIATE
COAST THIS AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...SFC DEWPOINTS NEAR 60
F...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE DUE TO THE SFC LOW AND SFC HEATING MAY BE
ENOUGH TO INITIATE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 

FURTHER EAST A SFC LOW WILL ORGANIZE IN THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO AS
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES. A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD ACROSS
SRN FL WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NWD TONIGHT. AS SFC DEWPOINTS INCREASE
ACROSS SRN AND CNTRL FL...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD
KEEP ANY CONVECTION BELOW SEVERE LIMITS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

..BROYLES.. 11/19/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.