[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 191143
SWODY1
SPC AC 191141

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0541 AM CST SAT NOV 19 2005

VALID 191300Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW SRQ 25 NE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W BRO 20 NW ALI 45
SSW CLL 10 WNW LCH 40 SW 7R4.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH TONIGHT WILL
RESIDE IN TWO AREAS. THE FIRST AREA WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN FL
PENINSULA...WHERE ENELY FLOW WILL AID IN MOISTENING LOW LEVEL
PROFILES WITH TIME. SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE OF
AN UPPER JET WILL AID IN INCREASING WARM ADVECTION. COMBINED WITH A 
DEEP MID-HIGH LEVEL FEED OF TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING NEWD FROM
T.S GAMMA...WILL SUPPORT HIGH PWAT VALUES AND MODEST MUCAPES
500-1000 J/KG OVER THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED-SCATTERED TSTM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS. 

FURTHER WEST...THE DEVELOPMENT AND STRENGTHENING OF THE UPPER LOW
OVER THE SRN PLAINS WILL OCCUR TODAY IN RESPONSE TO PHASING OF NRN
AND SRN SHORTWAVE TROUGHS OVER THIS REGION. AS THE UPPER LOW DEEPENS
...ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL AID IN MOISTENING AND
COOLING MID LEVEL PROFILES. MODERATE WARM ADVECTION NORTH OF A
DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL FURTHER SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS /ROOTED AROUND 700 MB/
MAINLY LATE TONIGHT ALONG THE WRN GULF COAST.

..CROSBIE/HALES.. 11/19/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.