[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 111927
SWODY1
SPC AC 111925

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 PM CST FRI NOV 11 2005

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW MRF 35 ESE HOB
35 WNW PVW 15 SSE TCC 10 ESE 4CR 35 NE SAD 10 S PHX 65 WSW PRC 10
NNE EED 20 NNE LAS 50 SSE ELY 25 E ENV 30 NW RKS 35 ENE RWL 20 S TOR
10 SSE EAR 20 SW BIE 20 SSW TOP 40 SE OKC 40 NW SEP 30 E JCT 20 SSW
SAT 10 N VCT 40 SSE LBX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 40 ENE AST
50 SW AST.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHWEST STATES...
SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW LOCATED OVER AZ/SRN UT PER WV IMAGERY...WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE ENE REACHING THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS BY
12Z SATURDAY.  AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION...CURRENTLY OVER SWRN CO/
NWRN NM...IS LOCATED ALONG LEADING EDGE OF STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROUGH.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND OROGRAPHY COMBINED WITH
COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND SURFACE HEATING WILL SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AS THE
TROUGH MOVES TO THE ENE.  WEAK INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT...BUT COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES/STEEP
LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED HAIL WITH THE STRONGER ACTIVITY.  

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS AS SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG
HEIGHT FALLS WITH THE APPROACH OF THE SWRN TROUGH.  THIS LLJ WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE NWD WITH WAA REGIME
SUPPORTING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

..PETERS.. 11/11/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.