[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 11 16:36:24 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 111626
SWODY1
SPC AC 111625

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2005

VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 40 ENE AST
20 SSW AST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 40 ENE AST
50 SW AST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW MRF 35 ESE HOB
35 WNW PVW 15 SSE TCC 10 ESE 4CR 35 NE SAD 10 S PHX 65 WSW PRC 50
SSW LAS 30 N DRA 60 SW ELY 25 E ENV 30 NW RKS 35 ENE RWL 20 S TOR 10
SSE EAR 20 SW BIE 20 SSW TOP 40 SE OKC 40 NW SEP 30 E JCT 20 SSW SAT
10 N VCT 40 SSE LBX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHWEST STATES...
LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES
TODAY...WHILE STRONG TROUGH DIGS INTO THE SOUTHWEST.  ISOLATED
INTENSE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OVER CENTRAL AZ...ALONG LEADING EDGE
OF STRONGER LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH.  THESE STORMS MAY
PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY AS THEY SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST CO AND
NORTHWEST NM.  COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND POCKETS OF DAYTIME
HEATING WILL ENHANCE THE RISK OF HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS. 
HOWEVER...LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE AN ORGANIZED
SEVERE THREAT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM WEST TX
INTO KS AS STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS DRAW MOISTURE
NORTHWARD.  NO SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

..HART/CROSBIE.. 11/11/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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