[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 11 00:51:36 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 110046
SWODY1
SPC AC 110044

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CST THU NOV 10 2005

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S VBG 25 SSW SCK
30 ENE SAC 15 NW RNO 30 NNW LOL 25 NNE WMC 15 NE OWY 50 S BYI 25 WSW
OGD 30 WNW U28 30 SSW 4BL 10 ESE INW 20 NE PHX 20 SSE YUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN/CNTRL CA ACROSS GREAT BASIN...
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST OF THE
SIERRA CREST AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND LOWER CO RIVER
VALLEY OVERNIGHT. STRONG DPVA AND ASSOCIATED LARGE SCALE ASCENT
AHEAD OF MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF POINT CONCEPTION HAS CONTRIBUTED TO
MOISTENING AND WEAK DESTABILIZATION ACROSS CNTRL/ERN CA DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON. THIS PROCESS WILL BE CONTINUE TO BE MAXIMIZED
BENEATH LEFT EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS NV AND THEN TO UT/NRN AZ THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. DESPITE
MODEST DYNAMICS...LATEST SOUNDINGS AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA SUGGEST
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY /MUCAPE AOB 250 J/KG/ SHOULD RESTRICT UPDRAFT
INTENSITY AND PERSISTENCE.

..CARBIN.. 11/11/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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