[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 021947
SWODY1
SPC AC 021945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CST WED NOV 02 2005

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW BLI OLM 35 SE
SLE 30 S MFR 75 SSW EKA.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PACIFIC NW INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN W...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
BEGINNING TO SHIFT MORE EWD ONTO THE NRN CA COAST WITH ATTENDANT
WARM CONVEYOR BELT EXTENDING FROM NEAR SAN FRANCISCO BAY NEWD INTO
CNTRL/ERN ORE. TO THE W...A TENDENCY FOR LESS CLOUDINESS AND
RESULTANT STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING COUPLED WITH COLD MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES /-24 TO -26 C AT 500 MB/ WITHIN TROUGH AXIS HAVE
RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK INSTABILITY ALONG/JUST E OF
SURFACE FRONT NOW APPROACHING THE COAST.

A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ALONG THIS
FRONT AS IT MOVES ONSHORE...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN IMMEDIATE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WHERE OROGRAPHIC
ASCENT IS ENHANCED.  AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO MAY OCCUR
OVERNIGHT AS FAR E AS ID/NV WITHIN ZONE OF STRONGEST LARGE-SCALE
FORCING AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. ANTICIPATED COVERAGE
APPEARS TOO MINIMAL TO WARRANT INCLUSION OF GENERAL THUNDER FARTHER
INLAND.

..MEAD.. 11/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.