[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 021605
SWODY1
SPC AC 021603

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1003 AM CST WED NOV 02 2005

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CLM OLM 20 WSW
PDX 10 NNW EUG 45 NW 4BK.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PAC NW INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
BROAD ZONE OF ASCENT WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN AHEAD
OF PROGRESSIVE TROUGH NOW APPROACHING THE WEST COAST.  EXTENSIVE
PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE MAINTAINED AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...AND WILL LIKELY SUSTAIN AREAS OF CONVECTION.  HOWEVER...
MORNING SOUNDINGS AND LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL BE RATHER LOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. 
ALONG THE PAC NW COAST...MORNING SOUNDINGS INDICATE SHALLOW LAYER OF
STEEP LAPSE RATES JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE.  WITH EVEN MODEST
AFTERNOON HEATING AND OROGRAPHIC FORCING IN WAKE OF SURFACE
TROUGH/FRONT EXPECTED TO PUSH INLAND THIS AFTERNOON...MOIST
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF THE COASTAL RANGE.
 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY NEAR THE
COAST AS 0 TO -2C SFC-H7 LI/S DEVELOP.

..EVANS.. 11/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.