[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 021239
SWODY1
SPC AC 021237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 AM CST WED NOV 02 2005

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW BNO 25 W MYL
10 SSE LVM 50 SSW COD 50 NE EVW 20 S SLC 20 WSW U31 RNO 30 S AAT 45
SSW BNO.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT BASIN...
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POWERFUL SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.  THIS SYSTEM WILL
MOVE INLAND LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PROVIDING RATHER
STRONG DYNAMIC LIFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN.  PRIMARY
SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE IS EXPECTED TO LIE FROM NORTHERN NV INTO
WESTERN MT BY THIS EVENING.  MODELS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT UPPER COOLING
AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO POSE A RISK OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THIS AREA.  ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST OVERNIGHT...SPREADING EASTWARD FROM
ID/NORTHERN UT INTO PARTS OF MT/WY.  NO ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE
ANTICIPATED TODAY DUE TO LACK OF STRONG INSTABILITY.

...SOUTH FL...
PRIMARY SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS NOW MOVED OFF THE COAST OF THE
SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA...ALLOWING DRIER/MORE STABLE AIR TO SPREAD IN
FROM THE NORTH.  MODELS SUGGEST THAT STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND
LAND/SEA INTERACTIONS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF FL LATER TODAY...BUT CONFIDENCE IN NOT HIGH ENOUGH
TO WARRANT THE ADDITION OF A THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK AREA.

..HART/CROSBIE.. 11/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.