[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Nov 2 05:55:17 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 020550
SWODY1
SPC AC 020549

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CST TUE NOV 01 2005

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW BNO 25 W MYL
10 SSE LVM 50 SSW COD 50 NE EVW 20 S SLC 20 WSW U31 RNO 30 S AAT 45
SSW BNO.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN GRT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
THE PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTRY
ON WED.  THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH EVOLVING OFF THE WA/ORE COAST IS
EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/NRN GRT BASIN BY
WED AFTN.  THIS DISTURBANCE WILL AGITATE THE BAROCLINIC ZONE
EXPECTED TO RESIDE ACROSS THE REGION.  RESULTANT FRONTOGENESIS AND
OVERALL LARGE SCALE ASCENT MAY MOISTEN PROFILES ENOUGH FOR ISOLD
AFTN-EVE TSTMS. 

...SRN FL...
THE COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS SRN FL AT 06Z WILL BE LOCATED OFFSHORE
BY 12Z WED.  PWAT VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY AS NNELY FLOW INCREASES IN WAKE OF THE
UPPER DISTURBANCE DEPARTING INTO THE SWRN ATLANTIC BASIN. 
DECREASING INSTABILITY AND INCREASING DOWNWARD MOTION WILL PRECLUDE
TSTM PROBABILITIES.

..RACY/CROSBIE.. 11/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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