[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 020059
SWODY1
SPC AC 020058

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 PM CST TUE NOV 01 2005

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE BLI PDX 45 W
ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S SRQ 25 NE MLB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN FL...
PRIMARY SURFACE LOW HAS DEVELOPED/MOVED ACROSS THE SWRN ATLANTIC
WATERS THIS EVENING WITH THE ATTENDANT FRONT BEGINNING TO MOVE SWD
ACROSS CNTRL FL.  A SWD ACCELERATION IS LIKELY LATER TONIGHT AS A
SECONDARY LOW...NOW MOVING ASHORE SWRN FL...MOVES NEWD.  

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A BELT OF HIGH THETA-E AIR MASS CONTINUES TO
EXIST. INSTABILITY WAS RATHER WEAK...THOUGH...OWING TO POOR LAPSE
RATES /MLCAPES AOB 1000 J PER KG/.  THERMODYNAMIC SET-UP...THOUGH
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SCATTERED TSTMS...ESPECIALLY AS THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF THE GULF COAST MID-LEVEL IMPULSE GLANCES THE PLUME OF
HIGH THETA-E. 

...PAC NW...
LEAD PORTION OF AN UPPER IMPULSE HAS MOVED INTO ERN WA WITH A
TRAILING VORT MAX MOVING ASHORE WRN WA AT 01Z. EVENING KUIL
SOUNDING SUGGESTED THAT CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES WERE VERY
NEAR MINUS 20 DEGREES C.  PASSAGE OF THE SECONDARY DISTURBANCE/UVV
MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO FORCE CLOUD TOPS INTO THE FAVORABLE RANGE FOR
ISOLD LIGHTNING THROUGH LATE EVENING.

..RACY.. 11/02/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.