[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 011239
SWODY1
SPC AC 011238

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 AM CST TUE NOV 01 2005

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N BLI 15 ENE PDX
40 NNW OTH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW HUM 35 ENE MCB
10 SW MEI 10 SSW SEM 25 SW ABY 45 SE SSI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY AND GULF COAST REGION.  THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW
 STRETCHES FROM WESTERN AL INTO EASTERN LA.  THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE
EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF AL/GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE.  DESPITE
RATHER WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW...DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED/SEVERE STORMS IF SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WERE PRESENT.  HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT
DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY IN THE 50S WITH ONLY MINIMAL
AFTERNOON HEATING.  THEREFORE...WILL NOT INTRODUCE ANY SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
FL PENINSULA...WHERE TROPICAL AIR MASS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL
DEVELOP.  VERTICAL SHEAR IS RELATIVELY WEAK IN THIS
AREA...SUGGESTING ANY STRONGER STORMS WOULD BE TIED TO SEA BREEZE
INTERACTIONS AND WOULD BE BRIEF.  THEREFORE...NO ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS REGION TODAY.

..HART/CROSBIE.. 11/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.