[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 1 16:45:14 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 011619
SWODY1
SPC AC 011618

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 AM CST TUE NOV 01 2005

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE BLI PDX 45 W
ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S HUM 40 N ASD 50
SSE MEI 15 N GZH 15 ENE MGR 45 NE SGJ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

MONDAYS SRN PLAINS DIGGING TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED AS A CLOSED
UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL MS WITH TROUGH EXTENDING SWD INTO NRN GULF OF
MEXICO.  ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT FROM ERN AL SWWD INTO GULF WITH BOTH
FRONT AND TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. LACK
OF INSTABILITY PRECLUDES A SEVERE THREAT ERN GULF COAST AHEAD OF
UPPER SYSTEM.

TROPICAL MOISTURE SPREADING NEWD ACROSS SRN FL AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH
 WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SRN HALF OF
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON.  SEVERE THREAT STILL APPEARS MINIMAL WITH
WEAK LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND EXPECTED CLOUD COVER REDUCING POTENTIAL
INSTABILITY. A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON
VICINITY SERN FL SEA BREEZE FRONT.

..HALES/LEVIT.. 11/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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