[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 010548
SWODY1
SPC AC 010546

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1146 PM CST MON OCT 31 2005

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N BLI 15 ENE PDX
40 NNW OTH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW HUM 10 NNW BTR
35 SSW JAN 10 N GZH 45 NNW GNV 45 ENE SGJ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN FL...
DIFFUSE FRONT SITUATED ACROSS CUBA/BAHAMAS WILL REDEVELOP INTO SRN
FL TUE AS LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW BACKS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE STRONG UPPER
WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO.  WATER VAPOR SHOWS A WEAK
SUB-TROPICAL IMPULSE OVER THE NWRN CARIBBEAN EARLY TUE.  THIS
FEATURE WILL EJECT NEWD ACROSS SRN FL TUE AFTN IN THE ACCELERATING
SWLY FLOW ALOFT. INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND INFLUX OF RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS/CONVECTION
ACROSS SRN FL THROUGH THE AFTN.  ONE OR TWO STRONG TSTMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THOUGH MEAGER LAPSE RATES/CLOUDS
WILL TEND TO MITIGATE OVERALL THERMAL BUOYANCY.  TSTM PROBABILITIES
WILL INCREASE AGAIN VERY LATE TUE/EARLY WED ACROSS THE KEYS AND SWRN
FL AS THE MAIN TROUGH WITHIN THE POLAR WLYS APPROACHES THE ERN GULF
BASIN.

..RACY/CROSBIE.. 11/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.