[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 010058
SWODY1
SPC AC 010057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST MON OCT 31 2005

VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW LRD 40 SSW SAT
55 N VCT 35 E UTS 20 S SHV 25 SW ELD 40 N MLU 50 E MLU 10 NE PIB 55
E BVE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW APF 30 ESE
PBI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN TX AND SWRN LA...
THE UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE THAT MOVED ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS TODAY WAS
MOVING EWD THROUGH ERN TX EARLY THIS EVENING.  LINEAR MCS HAS MOVED
INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OF SWRN LA AND TX AT 01Z.  THE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE THIS EVENING AND THE SEVERE THREATS ARE
RAPIDLY DECLINING ACROSS SWRN LA AND THE MIDDLE/UPPER TX COAST.  

FARTHER S...THE SWRN PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE WAS BACKBUILDING WWD
ALONG THE COAST VCNTY KCRP.  MESOANALYSIS SHOWS THAT A SMALL WARM
SECTOR PERSISTS AHEAD OF THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH SITUATED FROM KCRP
WWD TO THE RIO GRANDE. BUT...THE 00Z KBRO RAOB SUGGESTS THAT A
SUBSTANTIAL CAP EXISTS IN THE H85-H7 LAYER.  GIVEN THAT THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT UVV/COOLING ALOFT ARE PASSING JUST N OF DEEP S
TX...TSTMS SHOULD HAVE A TOUGH TIME BEING MAINTAINED.  AS SUCH...ANY
SEVERE THREAT WILL BE MINIMAL/ISOLD AND MAINLY CONFINED TO THE
COASTAL REGION FROM PORT MANSFIELD NWD.

..RACY.. 11/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.