[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 270058
SWODY1
SPC AC 270056

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2005

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW SRQ 25 N PBI
...CONT... 40 S CRP 70 W COT ...CONT... 55 SW TUS 35 SW TUS 45 NNE
FHU 30 E SAD 55 NE SAD 25 SE SOW 45 SSW INW 30 W FLG 30 NW GCN 25 E
SGU 35 W CDC 70 NW P38 30 NW TPH 55 NNE BIH 30 SE BIH 50 ESE FAT 20
ENE MER 10 NNE SAC 25 SSW RBL 35 WNW RBL 45 ENE ACV 30 SE OTH 30 SW
SLE 25 NE SLE 50 WNW RDM 55 ESE EUG 40 ENE MFR 35 E MHS 35 E SVE 20
WSW LOL 20 NW BAM 25 SE EKO 45 WSW DPG 20 S U24 35 W 4HV 25 WNW U17
45 SE PGA 70 NNE INW 40 N GUP 30 SE DRO 30 WNW ALS 40 WSW PUB 25 W
LHX 25 SSE LAA 40 ESE LBL 25 SE GAG 10 SSW CSM 40 SE CDS 75 S CDS 55
SE LBB 40 N MAF 35 SW MAF 35 E FST 60 SW SJT 25 NNW JCT 65 WNW AUS
15 NE AUS 40 SSW CLL 25 ENE GLS ...CONT... ANJ 35 SW MBL 20 SSW MKE
45 E MLI 20 N IRK 15 NE FNB 30 ESE HSI 10 SE BBW 25 S ANW 50 ENE ANW
25 W OTG 35 N MKT 40 SSE DLH 50 ENE DLH 80 NW CMX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED MID LEVEL FLOW EXISTS ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL CONUS
THIS EVENING WITH A SHARP RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST...A DEEP LOW NORTH
OF MN...AND ANOTHER DEEP LOW OFF OF CAPE COD. GIVEN THE TIME OF
YEAR...THERE IS AN UNUSUAL PAUCITY OF SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL. THIS IS
DUE TO STRONG INFLUX OF DRY AND COOL AIR SPREADING ACROSS THE PLAINS
AND EAST ASSOCIATED WITH THE ACTIVE NRN STREAM TROUGHS.
ADDITIONALLY...A SERIES OF LOW LEVEL FRONTAL/OUTFLOW SURGES ACROSS
TX AND NM HAVE ACTED TO SHIFT THE AXIS OF GREATER SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY WELL SOUTH AND WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. ANOTHER
AREA OF GREATER MOISTURE AND DIURNALLY ENHANCED INSTABILITY REMAINS
ACROSS SRN FL.

...NM/TX...
POCKETS OF DEEP BUT POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE SRN
ROCKIES/CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING GIVEN
UPSLOPE FLOW AND PRESENCE OF STRONG INSTABILITY FOCUSED ALONG THE
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. WHILE A COUPLE OF THESE CELLS COULD
PRODUCE HAIL...ANTICIPATED DOWNWARD TREND WITH THE ONSET OF DIURNAL
COOLING DOES NOT WARRANT A RISK AREA. WEAK DESTABILIZATION AND LIFT
IN THE WAKE OF GULF COAST MCS MAY SPUR A COUPLE OF STORMS ACROSS
SCNTRL TX THIS EVENING. OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS UNFAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER FROM THIS ACTIVITY.

...MIDWEST TO GREAT LAKES...
VIGOROUS LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH COLD CORE TROUGH AND
DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION ACROSS IA/MN AREA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
RAPIDLY WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

...S FL...
STORMS WERE ALSO DIMINISHING RAPIDLY IN THIS REGION AS BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZES AND LAND BREEZE DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW.

..CARBIN.. 05/27/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.