[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 040057
SWODY1
SPC AC 040055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT TUE MAY 03 2005

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE ELP 55 N SVC
BCE 35 S ENV 75 NNW SUN 45 S MSO 25 WSW HLN 45 E WEY 45 S BPI 20 SSW
ALS 45 SW CAO 50 WNW CSM 20 SE FSI 10 SSE TPL MFE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N PIE 20 SSE DAB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
TSTMS CONTINUE TO FORM ACROSS CNTRL AND PARTS OF SRN FL AS A MYRIAD
OF CONVECTIVELY INDUCED BOUNDARIES COLLIDE.  THIS PROCESS IS APT TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 02-03Z WITH PERHAPS AN ISOLD DAMAGING WIND
GUST/HAILSTONE.  BUT WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING...BUOYANCY/TSTM
INTENSITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE. 

THOUGH TSTM PROBABILITIES WILL BE LOWER OVERNIGHT COMPARED TO
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL BE NON-ZERO. 
CNTRL/SRN FL WILL REMAIN BENEATH SLIGHTLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WITH
WEAK FLOW OF WARM AND HUMID AIR FLOWING NWD.  GIVEN THE VARIOUS
BOUNDARIES/ SHEAR-LINES ACROSS THE REGION...A TSTM OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT OVERNIGHT.  

...NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...
MAINLY DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTMS CONTINUE IN THE HIGH COUNTRY FROM
THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.  THE NUMBER OF
TSTMS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH LATE EVENING.  BUT...TSTMS MAY
PERSIST ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AND CNTRL/W TX AHEAD OF A
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THIS
IMPULSE WILL PROBABLY KEEP A TSTM THREAT GOING ALL NIGHT...PRIMARILY
ACROSS CNTRL/W TX.  MEAGER ELEVATED BUOYANCY SHOULD MITIGATE
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER.

..RACY.. 05/04/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.