[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 300054
SWODY1
SPC AC 300052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST TUE MAR 29 2005

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW FCA 35 ESE HLN
25 WSW RKS 35 E FCL 10 SSW MHE 55 N AXN 40 NE DLH 35 E IWD 10 SE VOK
MLI 20 W UIN 25 E SZL 45 ENE BVO 50 SW END 30 N CVS 30 ESE ABQ 20 SW
CDC 40 WNW OWY 30 N 4OM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL PLAINS / MIDDLE MO VALLEY REGION...
VORT MAX NOW OVER SERN CO / THE TX AND OK PANHANDLE REGION / SWRN KS
WILL MOVE ENEWD ACROSS KS THROUGH THE PERIOD.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM IN DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS...INVOF ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER SERN CO. 
STRONGEST STORMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SWRN NEB...WHERE A MARGINAL THREAT FOR HAIL /
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS EXISTS.

OVERALL HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REMAINED LIMITED IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON DESPITE STRONG FORCING AND FAVORABLE
DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD -- MAINLY AS A RESULT OF MEAGER BOUNDARY-LAYER
MOISTURE AND CAPPING INVERSION IN THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER.  

AS LOW-LEVEL JET AND ASSOCIATED WARM ADVECTION INCREASE
OVERNIGHT...STORMS MAY INCREASE SOMEWHAT IN COVERAGE...LIKELY
SPREADING ENEWD ACROSS THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD.  THOUGH A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE MARGINAL HAIL /
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...OVERALL SEVERE
PROBABILITY REMAINS LOW.

..GOSS.. 03/30/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.