[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 281610
SWODY1
SPC AC 281609

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 AM CST MON MAR 28 2005

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE
ILM 15 N OAJ 10 NE RWI 40 SE CHO 30 ENE CHO 15 SE BWI 25 S ACY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW FMY 10 NE MLB
...CONT... 25 SSW ILM 10 SE SOP 30 NNE CLT 30 WSW HKY 20 S TRI 20 N
5I3 10 N UNI 35 W HLG 25 N PIT 30 WNW MSV 10 ENE PSM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW BFL 10 NNE SCK
60 SE RBL 30 E RBL 65 SSW BNO 65 N BNO 10 E ALW 25 W MSO 20 SW BTM
25 ESE 3HT 40 SW GGW 20 E OLF 35 ESE ISN 25 NE DIK 30 N REJ 15 ENE
GCC 45 E WRL 50 NNW RIW 45 NNE BPI 30 E BPI 10 S RKS 40 W CAG 30 SSE
MTJ 35 W FMN 80 NNE INW 50 WSW GCN 40 NW IGM 45 S DRA 25 NNW NID 20
NNW BFL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREA...

....MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREA...
INTENSE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY CROSSING SRN APPALACHIANS WILL CONTINUE
EWD OFFSHORE BY LATE EVENING. ASSOCIATED DEEPENING SURFACE LOW AT
16Z SERN VA WILL TRACK NEWD TO OFF SRN MD COAST BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS OVER ERN CAROLINAS
WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE AFTER 18Z.

DRIER AIR IS SPREADING RAPIDLY EWD AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO WLY
ACROSS CAROLINAS WITH THE CURRENT VERY MOIST AIRMASS ERN NC/SERN VA
BEING REPLACED BY THE DRIER AIR BY MID AFTERNOON.

CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS OVER COASTAL NC/SERN
VA THIS AM SHOULD WEAKEN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS MORE UNSTABLE
AIRMASS AND STRONG WIND FIELDS MOVE OFFSHORE.

SOME THREAT OF REDEVELOPMENT OF STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS DURING
AFTERNOON UNDER THE COLD UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES EWD ACROSS NC. 
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.  GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL
DRYING AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW TO S OF SURFACE LOW...COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF THESE STORMS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED WITH THREAT ENDING
BY 00Z.

..HALES/GUYER.. 03/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.