[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 281246
SWODY1
SPC AC 281244

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 AM CST MON MAR 28 2005

VALID 281300Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE
ILM 20 SSW RDU 10 NE DAN 15 ENE LYH 20 ENE CHO 10 SSW BWI 10 SSE
ACY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW CHS 30 NW AND
45 SW TYS 30 ENE LEX 35 SSW CMH 25 NNE ZZV 25 N PIT 30 WNW MSV 10
ENE PSM ...CONT... 20 SSE SRQ 35 ENE ORL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW MSO 25 W BZN
25 ESE 3HT 40 SW GGW 20 E OLF 35 ESE ISN 45 WNW BIS 45 SE REJ 25 SSE
GCC 30 W LND 25 SE VEL 35 NNW 4BL 35 SSW PGA 40 WNW IGM 40 SSW DRA
20 NNW BFL 10 NNW SCK 25 ENE RBL 50 NW BNO 20 WSW LWS 10 WSW MSO.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NC AND
THE DELMARVA REGION...

...NC/VA THIS MORNING...
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A POWERFUL UPPER LOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF EAST TN.  AHEAD OF THE LOW...A LARGE BAND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IS SPREADING ACROSS NC/VA.  THIS ACTIVITY HAS
SHOWN SIGNS OF EMBEDDED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS IN THE PAST 1-2 HOURS.
MORE INTENSE STORMS APPEAR TO BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...WITH LARGE HAIL
OR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.  STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST BY LATE MORNING...ENDING THE
SEVERE THREAT.

...NC/VA THIS AFTERNOON...
SOME DAYTIME HEATING IS EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN NC/VA IN THE WAKE OF MORNING PRECIPITATION. 
THE PRIMARY VORT MAX ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO ROTATE
EASTWARD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO EASTERN NC/SOUTHEAST VA BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.  POCKET OF STEEP LAPSE RATES...COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT...AND STRONG UPPER FORCING WILL MOVE INTO THIS
REGION...PROMOTING THE REDEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...IF SUFFICIENT HEATING CAN OCCUR.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE
OFFSHORE BY EARLY EVENING...ENDING THE SEVERE THREAT.

..HART/BANACOS.. 03/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.