[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 270106
SWODY1
SPC AC 270104

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0704 PM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S
7R4 40 NW BTR 50 E MLU 20 WSW GWO 30 NE TUP 20 SSW HSV 10 SW LGC 15
SE ABY 25 SE TLH.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW
DAB 10 WNW PIE ...CONT... 30 WSW 7R4 25 ENE MLU 15 NNE MEM 30 W BNA
20 SE CSV 25 SSW AVL 15 N CAE 20 E CRE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE P07 35 NE DMN
45 N GNT 15 WNW DRO 50 SSE MTJ 20 W ALS 45 NNW LVS 40 ENE 4CR 30 NE
HOB 30 E PVW 25 S OKC 30 SW EVV 30 WSW BLF 20 WSW GSO 35 ESE ECG
...CONT... 50 NNE BRO 30 WNW LRD.

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SERN LA...MUCH
OF MS AND AL...AND THE FL PANHANDLE...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES
AND INTO THE TN VALLEY REGION...

...LOWER MS VALLEY / CENTRAL AND ERN GULF COAST STATES...
FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EPISODE UNDERWAY ATTM FROM LA / MS EWD
INTO GA / THE FL PANHANDLE AND NRN FL...AHEAD OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH
NOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES / SRN HIGH PLAINS.  

SURFACE LOW IS NOW INDICATED OVER SWRN MS / ERN LA...WITH CONTINUED
ADVECTION OF WARM / MOIST GULF AIR NWD INTO THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF
COAST REGION ON SLY / SELY WINDS.  DEGREE OF MOISTURE HAS
CONTRIBUTED TO A MARGINALLY- TO MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS
THE GULF COAST REGION...WHICH WILL CONTINUE SPREADING SLOWLY NWD
TOWARD THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT.  

STRONG WSWLY FLOW ALOFT IS INDICATED ACROSS THIS REGION...WHICH
SHOULD STRENGTHEN FURTHER AS TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 90 KT MID-LEVEL
JET APPROACH FROM THE W.  AS A RESULT...FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL VEERING
AND STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES.  GREATEST THREAT
OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE FOCUSED ACROSS MS / AL -- AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW
WHICH SHOULD MOVE NEWD INTO NRN MS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  ACROSS
THIS REGION IN PARTICULAR...A FEW SIGNIFICANT WIND / TORNADO EVENTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE.  FURTHER E...A LOWER-PROBABILITY SEVERE THREAT IS
FORECAST TO EXTEND AS FAR EWD AS THE SRN ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THE
END 0F THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 03/27/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.