[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Mar 18 12:43:03 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 181240
SWODY1
SPC AC 181238

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 AM CST FRI MAR 18 2005

VALID 181300Z - 191200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S SPW 20 SSE MSP
40 ESE EAU 30 W OSH 20 ESE CGX 15 NE DNV 30 ENE MVN DYR 50 W UOX 40
SSE GLH 20 NNW HEZ 40 NW ESF SHV 50 ENE PRX 30 W FSM 10 ESE JLN 45
SW SZL 40 SW P35 55 W DSM 30 S SPW.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...AR/OZARKS INTO THE NRN/MID MS RIVER VALLEY...
DEEP ASCENT WILL REMAIN ENHANCED AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS IA THROUGH THE DAY.  SYSTEM WILL REMAIN
NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVING
STEADILY SSEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER MO RIVER
VALLEY/OZARKS BY LATER TODAY.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
EMBEDDED WITHIN BROADER PRECIPITATION SHIELD NOW ESTABLISHED FROM
SERN SD/WRN IA ACROSS THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY...ENHANCING SNOW
FALL RATES THIS MORNING.  CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING
OVER THIS REGION AND POSSIBLY SWWD INTO NRN MO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...INCLUDING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.  AS SWLY LLJ INCREASES
AND AIR MASS GRADUALLY MOISTENS...ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY FORM THIS
EVENING INTO THE LOWER MO/MID MS RIVER VALLEYS AND DEVELOP SEWD INTO
THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN MINIMAL WITH ANY ENSUING THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..EVANS/GUYER.. 03/18/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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