[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 171602
SWODY1
SPC AC 171600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CST THU MAR 17 2005

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM FMY 25
SSE VRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE CTY 40 NNW
DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW HLC 30 WSW AKO
30 ENE ASE 40 ENE GJT 35 WNW RKS 20 NNW BPI 50 W COD 30 NE COD 35
ENE 81V 35 SSW MHE 15 N OFK 20 ESE GRI 30 NNW HLC.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS S FL...

...SYNOPSIS...
MID-LEVEL TROUGH NOW MOVING ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CONUS WILL SHIFT
EWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY / CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO THE SERN U.S.
BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  MEANWHILE...A SECOND / SMALLER TROUGH
WITHIN MODERATE NWLY FLOW ALOFT -- NOW MOVING ACROSS MT / ID / WY --
IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE SEWD INTO THE NRN / CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
END OF THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY SWD ACROSS
CENTRAL / SRN FL...WITH MOIST / UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR AIRMASS
INDICATED S OF ONGOING CONVECTION OVER SRN FL. OTHER SURFACE
FEATURE OF INTEREST WILL BE THE SURFACE LOW NOW OVER NRN WY / SERN
MT...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD ACROSS NEB THROUGH THE
PERIOD...AHEAD OF NRN ROCKIES UPPER FEATURE.  THOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER
WILL REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND VICINITY...MINIMAL
INSTABILITY -- PARTICULARLY NEAR AFTERNOON PEAK HEATING -- MAY
SUPPORT SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.

...S FL...
MOIST / WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER IS EVIDENT ACROSS S FL ATTM...S OF
EFFECTIVE FRONT EXTENDING W-E FROM ROUGHLY LAKE OKEECHOBEE SWD. 
STRONG / SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING IN A BAND FROM LEE
COUNTY ENEWD ST. LUCIE / MARTIN COUNTIES.  ADDITIONAL STRONG /
SEVERE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SWD ACROSS THE EVERGLADES /
KEYS WITHIN DESTABILIZING AIRMASS.  STRONG WIND FIELD OBSERVED
ACROSS S FL WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR MAINLY DAMAGING
WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

FRONT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT OFF THE SRN FL COAST / THE KEYS LATE IN
THE PERIOD...ENDING ANY LINGERING SEVERE THREAT.

..GOSS / BANACOS.. 03/17/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.